Practical Unit vs. Unit Efficiency Ratings
In my last post I looked at theoretical unit vs. unit efficiency ratings. Now I will take a more practical look at calculating these ratings. In the theoretical case we made the assumption that we could know for sure a 5-player unit’s shot distribution, 2pt and 3pt shooting percentages, and turnover and rebounding rates. Clearly, [...]
Theoretical Unit vs. Unit Efficiency Ratings
So lets say you visit your local magic shop and find a device that will magically give you the true probabilities associated with a 5-player unit’s offensive and defensive performance. You know, the important probabilities associated with things like offensive and defensive field goal percentages, rebounding percentages, and turnover rates. As cool as it is [...]
A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 3
This is the third in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. In part two of this series I presented a way to break down the probability of [...]
A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 2
This is the second in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. In part one of this series I presented a way to break down the probability of [...]
A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 1
This is the first in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. Before diving right into the data and trying to build new models of the game, I [...]