Nov 30 2008

## Practical Unit vs. Unit Efficiency Ratings

Tweet In my last post I looked at theoretical unit vs. unit efficiency ratings. Now I will take a more practical look at calculating these ratings. In the theoretical case we made the assumption that we could know for sure a 5-player unit’s shot distribution, 2pt and 3pt shooting percentages, and turnover and rebounding rates. […]

Nov 24 2008

## Theoretical Unit vs. Unit Efficiency Ratings

Tweet So lets say you visit your local magic shop and find a device that will magically give you the true probabilities associated with a 5-player unit’s offensive and defensive performance. You know, the important probabilities associated with things like offensive and defensive field goal percentages, rebounding percentages, and turnover rates. As cool as it […]

Sep 24 2008

## A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 3

Tweet This is the third in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. In part two of this series I presented a way to break down the probability […]

Sep 11 2008

## A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 2

Tweet This is the second in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. In part one of this series I presented a way to break down the probability […]

Sep 5 2008

## A Theoretical Model for The Probability of Winning a Basketball Game – Part 1

Tweet This is the first in a 3 part series where I will present a theoretical model for the probability of winning a basketball game. The 3 parts will break this model down at the team, unit, and player level. Before diving right into the data and trying to build new models of the game, […]