Sep 15 2009

Mathletics Part III: Basketball

Tweet Like any other self-respecting basketball geek, the first part of Wayne Winston‘s new book Mathletics I read was Part III: Basketball. Before diving into what I think about this part of the book, I think it’s important to spell out the intent of the book. Although it has math in the title, this book [...]

Sep 7 2009

A Basic Hierarchical Model of Efficiency

Tweet In my last post on retrodicting team efficiency, I set a general baseline that can be used help determine if a new model of team efficiency makes better predictions than a naive model. This is important, as we want to know if added model complexity is worth the hassle. This post will present a [...]

Aug 30 2009

Retrodicting Team Efficiency

Tweet Regardless of the many models we may examine, we are ultimately looking to predict team efficiency. To move in this direction, we have to know how well the most basic methods predict team efficiency in order to determine if more complex methods are actually better than a simpler model. Retrodiction versus Prediction To best [...]

Aug 14 2009

My Talk at the 2009 Southeastern Ranking and Clustering Workshop

Tweet My attempts to record the talk failed due to what appears to be a broken Flip Mino. (Note to self: don’t upgrade the software on a working product the night before you plan on using it.) All is not lost, as you can download the slides for my talk: Applying Multilevel Models to Sports [...]

Aug 6 2009

What I’ve Learned Over the Past Year

Tweet One year ago today I published my first post, so I wanted to go through the past year and see what stuff sticks out, for better or worse. Regardless of the end result of a lot of my work, I know I sure have learned a lot along the way. If you’ve been reading [...]

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