Mathletics Part III: Basketball
Like any other self-respecting basketball geek, the first part of Wayne Winston‘s new book Mathletics I read was Part III: Basketball. Before diving into what I think about this part of the book, I think it’s important to spell out the intent of the book. Although it has math in the title, this book isn’t […]
A Basic Hierarchical Model of Efficiency
In my last post on retrodicting team efficiency, I set a general baseline that can be used help determine if a new model of team efficiency makes better predictions than a naive model. This is important, as we want to know if added model complexity is worth the hassle. This post will present a basic […]
Retrodicting Team Efficiency
Regardless of the many models we may examine, we are ultimately looking to predict team efficiency. To move in this direction, we have to know how well the most basic methods predict team efficiency in order to determine if more complex methods are actually better than a simpler model. Retrodiction versus Prediction To best assess […]
My Talk at the 2009 Southeastern Ranking and Clustering Workshop
My attempts to record the talk failed due to what appears to be a broken Flip Mino. (Note to self: don’t upgrade the software on a working product the night before you plan on using it.) All is not lost, as you can download the slides for my talk: Applying Multilevel Models to Sports Rating […]
What I’ve Learned Over the Past Year
One year ago today I published my first post, so I wanted to go through the past year and see what stuff sticks out, for better or worse. Regardless of the end result of a lot of my work, I know I sure have learned a lot along the way. If you’ve been reading for […]